This weekend we move into Round 11 of the 2012 NRL Telstra Premiership and after the announcement of the 2012 State Of Origin Teams for game one earlier in the week, this is the first round where things can really open up.
While the Origin stars are away some of the less representative-rich teams can play and you can bet that this will have an effect on both the NRL odds and the NRL results this weekend.
Six teams are on a bye this week with the following enjoying a rest:
- Parramatta Eels
- Newcastle Knights
- Canberra Raiders
- Melbourne Storm
- Brisbane Broncos
- Gold Coast Titans
Two of these teams will be more than happy for the break with raging Premiership favourites the Melbourne Storm and the second placed Brisbane Broncos.
The Storm suffered their first loss of the season last weekend when going down in a thriller to the flying Cronulla at Shark Park on Monday night.
The boys from Brisbane also looked down and out after Round 10 when losing 22 – 24 in the dying moments to the Sea Eagles, Manly maintaining their dominant record at Suncorp and handing the Broncos their second straight loss.
Below we take a look at the full Round 11 draw, who is playing who where, which team is favourite, and give our insider team and margin tip for all the matches that you can lock in at bookmaker.com.au – home of the $300 with use of the codeword BONUSBET!
2012 NRL Telstra Premiership Round 11
Friday May 18, 2012 (7:45pm) – Leichhardt Oval
- Wests Tigers ($1.94) v New Zealand Warriors ($1.86)
Tigers come into this one fresh off a bye so should have the fitness edge, before which they won by one over the Titans.
They almost let things slip then but having had a week to reflect, and playing at home, should be at shorter odds for us than they are.
Warriors are favourites having won their last two firstly by 10 over the Broncos and then by four over the Roosters.
Can they keep it up in Sydney though with both those victories having been in front of a vocal home crowd back in NZ? We don’t think so, take the underdogs here.Tigers by 2
Saturday May 19, 2012 (7:30pm) – Dairy Farmers Stadium
- North Queensland Cowboys ($1.48) v Penrith Panthers ($2.66)
Cowboys were really impressive at Hunter Stadium last week getting the better of the Knights 32 – 12.
They look to make it three straight here and they have been playing beautifully at home so that will help their cause.
What doesn’t help their cause is the gaps left by Origin selection most notably Thurston and Scott. Can they do it without them? Bowmen, Sims, Johnson and co say yes.
Panthers were stuffed after a Round 9 44 – 10 loss to the Storm but they did catch the eye when defeating the Dragons in a 13 – 12 nail biter on Monday night.
Still St George haven’t been doing much this season either and they are on the short back up.Cowboys by 14
Sunday May 20, 2012 (2:00pm) – Brookvale Oval
- Manly Sea Eagles ($1.45) v Sydney Roosters ($2.75)
Sea Eagles started well then something went amiss, really amiss. They look to be back on track now however having won their last three with wins over the Bulldogs (Rnd 8), Raiders (Rnd 9) and then the Broncos last week in the final minute.
The Roosters meanwhile lost 26 – 30 in NZ and after a trip across the Tasman will likely have trouble stopping the resurgence of the reigning Premiers who will relish getting back to Brookie.Sea Eagles by 16
Sunday May 20, 2012 (3:00pm) – WIN Jubilee Oval
- St George Illawarra Dragons ($1.91) v South Sydney Rabbitohs ($1.89)
This is the hardest of the round to tip for sure, just look at the odds. Really St George probably deserved to win over the Panthers last week, but they didn’t.
When you look at their season they really should have done a lot, but they haven’t.
Good luck here Dragons. Rabbitohs beat the Sharks in Round 9, Cronulla going on to beat the best in the competition last week.
Souths also come off the bye so don’t understand why they’re not shorter.Rabbitohs by 8
Monday May 21, 2012 (7:00pm) – ANZ Stadium
- Canterbury Bulldogs ($1.47) v Cronulla Sharks ($2.70)
What is going on here? Sharks beat Storm then go out at $2.70? One word – Origin.
Gallen is already out and then when you take away their new star Todd Carney and they could be in trouble.
From such highs to such lows.
Bulldogs have plenty of talent still on the field here but have some niggling injuries to watch namly Ben Barba’s ankle.
We are going to go out on a limb however and stick with the Sharks. Bulldogs were rubbish over the Titans, could be wrong but the juicy price is worth a shot.Sharks by 4