2017 NRL Round 11 Betting & Preview: Heritage Round

The Heritage Round of the NRL Premiership 2017 is upon us and Round 11 is the last week before the State Of Origin action gets underway in under a fortnight’s time.

Upset NRL Round 11 Tip: Dragons to beat the Warriors @ $2.60 – Ladbrokes.com.au

This is a crucial weekend of footy as the State Of Origin 2017 teams are announced from Monday, meaning there are not only competition points but also Blue and Maroon jerseys on the line.

Thursday night footy has the reigning Premiers the Sharks as clear favourites to defeat the Cowboys who have eased out in rugby league betting after the announcement they’ll be without skipper Johnathan Thurston (shoulder) again.

There are very short NRL odds offered on the rising Broncos chasing their fifth win on the trot when they host the Tigers on Friday night, while the resurgent Titans outfit finally start favourites to beat Manly after their gutsy victory over the ladder-leading Storm last week.

Sunday football is headlined by the Bulldogs v Roosters clash, while Melbourne should be returning to winning form over the Bunnies later that night.

See below for the complete Heritage NRL Round 11 Draw, footy tips and the latest rugby league odds courtesy of Ladbrokes.com.au – home of Footy Freaks.


Cronulla Sharks ($1.52) v North Queensland Cowboys ($2.60)

Thursday May 18, 2017 (7:50pm) – Southern Cross Group Stadium

The round gets underway with the second-ranked Sharks out for their third win on the trot after their four point win over the Dragons last Friday night. They host the Cowboys who come off a confidence-boosting upset over the Bulldogs last weekend without JT. He is missing again going straight into State Of Origin Game I and that sees Cronulla start favourites for this. The home side will be determined to get the points heading into rep season, while the Cowboys were boosted by big efforts from Ethan Lowe and Gavin Cooper last week. Home advantage plus the fact NQ’s rivals last week were woeful have the Sharks as the ones to stick with.

New Zealand Warriors ($1.52) vs St George Illawarra Dragons ($2.60)

Friday May 19, 2017 (6:00pm) – Mt Smart Stadium

The Dragons are looking down the barrel of a fourth loss on the trot here and have a tough trip across the Tasman making matters worse. Last weekend the Red V went down by four at home to the Sharks, while the Warriors lost 36 – 28 to the Panthers. Back in NZ this weekend though the money is on the Kiwis to continue St George’s fall down the ladder. The Warriors went amiss in the second half last round, and their record against the Dragons is woeful. St George have an imposing with an 80% win rate from their past 25 played against the New Zealand squad and look the value for an upset here.

Brisbane Broncos ($1.18) vs Wests Tigers ($5.25)

Friday May 19, 2017 (7:50pm) – Suncorp Stadium

The surest Round 11 bet looks to be backing Brisbane to continue their winning streak, the team chasing six straight after their big 24 – 14 victory over Manly last Saturday night. Wests meanwhile went down in embarrassing fashion with a 20 point loss to the Bunnies and start at the biggest odds of the weekend for an upset. It is 4th plays 15th and the markets reflect that. It’s been a horror season of distractions for the Tigers, including most recently Mitchell Moses heading off the to Eels. They’ll be in for a long night at the old Lang Park with everything working well for Brisbane over the past month or so, including they could come from behind after trailing the Sea Eagles 14 – nil before their victory in Round 10. Add James ‘The Jet’ Roberts back in the team and they’ll be running away with this.

Gold Coast Titans ($1.65) vs Manly Sea Eagles ($2.30)

Saturday May 20, 2017 (5:30pm) – CBUS Super Stadium

The Gold Coast have been one of the surprise NRL teams over the past three weeks winning their third straight as big underdogs in a high-scoring affair against Melbourne in Brisbane last weekend. Finally the odds reflect the kind of form the Titans are currently in as they start favourites and get a chance to continue their rise through the ranks. Manly gave away a 14 point lead letting Brisbane score 24 unanswered points last weekend and are on the road for this. There’s plenty of bad blood between these two – note Cherry-Evans and Myles – so expect a blockbuster. The Sea Eagles are without injured fullback Tom Trbojevic so tipping the Titans to take full advantage.

Parramatta Eels ($2.60) vs Canberra Raiders ($1.52)

Saturday May 20, 2017 (7:30pm) – ANZ Stadium

Parramatta’s three game winning streak came to an end last week when they lost in a big way to the Roosters last Sunday (48 – 10) and they are underdogs for this clash with the Raiders who have lost their past three straight. Canberra are also coming off a Sunday loss when going down 34 – 20 to shock Round 10 winners the Knights. Anyone that loses to Newcastle this season looks in trouble and that could be the case for the Green Machine despite being favourites here. The markets are a reflection of the Eels’ loss of half Corey Norman (knee) who is out for four weeks, but they do welcome in Tigers-ex Moses. It’ll be tight, but happy to give the Eels the chance to get back in winning form.

Newcastle Knights ($3.90) vs Penrith Panthers ($1.28)

Sunday May 21, 2017 (2:00pm) – McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle scored the biggest of last weekend’s upsets beating the Raiders and play at home against fellow Round 20 winners Penrith on Sunday afternoon. With just two season wins so far, it’s hard to stick with the Knights to go back-to-back. The Panthers meanwhile really stuck it to the Warriors who gave up in the second 40 and they’ll be full of confidence despite the strength of their forward back and ability still being questioned. Lesser of two evils really.

Canterbury Bulldogs ($2.75) vs Sydney Roosters ($1.48)

Sunday May 21, 2017 (4:00pm) – ANZ Stadium

The Bulldogs were absolutely woeful last Thursday night against the Cowboys, but have had over a week to rest up. They remain big underdogs though with Sydney having bounced back from a Round 9 loss to easily account for the Eels (48 – 10) last Sunday. Both are inside the Top 8, but the third-ranked Roosters have been more consistent of late. At home as favourites in the markets, the Chooks have enjoyed nine of their past 12 and that’s likely to continue here.

South Sydney Rabbitohs ($3.20) vs Melbourne Storm ($1.38)

Sunday May 21, 2017 (6:30pm) – NIB Stadium

Something finally went right for the Rabbitohs who came off three losses on the trot to beat the Tigers (28 – 8). The high doesn’t look likely to last however when they take on the season’s best the Storm on Sunday. Melbourne went down in a shock two point loss to the Titans in Brisbane last weekend and will be keen to atone. Melbourne coach Bellamy would likely have given his usually mechanical boys a spray after the game that lacked defence and professionalism. Played over in Perth, this is officially a “home” game for Souths. But it’s been over a year since the Storm went down two weeks on the trot so don’t think they’ll be letting that happen here.

*All times local and odds provided by Ladbrokes.com.au – subject to change